Everyone has an opinion about what’s going to happen with Twitter, but so many are rooted in either cheering or schadenfreude towards Elon Musk.

Emotion and rationality operate on different channels so we can't learn when we take sides — and there's so much to learn from this fascinating situation: the world’s richest man buying the most volatile social network, and then feeding it to his id!

In the spirit of learning, I detailed out the four most important factors to consider for predicting Twitter’s future. At the end I give my % chance that Twitter makes it. What chances do you give it?